Matchup projection
Each game gets an expected score from tempo, offensive and defensive efficiency, and the path already played — not a seed-only heuristic.
March Madness research
NCAA Tournament projections built for the bracket and the futures board.
Single-elimination variance is real. The board still starts from projected scores, opponent-adjusted efficiency and fair prices — then extends that same framework into national champion and Most Outstanding Player markets.
How March is handled
The tournament is treated as its own market.
Fair price
Model probability becomes an American fair number so the available sportsbook line can be judged against something concrete.
Futures layer
Champion and MOP prices are reviewed with timing included. A future is only released when the price and the window justify the risk.
Documented card
Picks members see the line, price, book and unit size at release. Results feed the same transparent record used the rest of the season.
Tournament proof
Six straight profitable NCAA Tournaments.
What members get in March
- Matchup-by-matchup projected scores
- National champion futures research
- Most Outstanding Player futures
- Price and timing with every release
- Full-season context on college basketball projections
profitable NCAA Tournaments
Four of sixMost Outstanding Player and national champion futures cashed
Related research
Season board, record and access.
Before Selection Sunday
Daily projected scores, spreads and totals run through conference tournaments on the college basketball projections board. That same efficiency framework carries into the bracket.
Season ROI and win rate, including losing years, live on the betting record page. For March-intent search traffic, see March Madness betting. Spreads from projected scores are on CBB spread projections. Conference-season context lives on Big Ten basketball projections.
Access
- Website access: $150 for the full season through the NCAA Tournament
- Website + picks: $299 adds the official daily card and futures
- College basketball is offered only as a full-season package
Season access
Follow the board from November through the Final Four.
Website access is one hundred fifty dollars. Website plus official picks and futures is two hundred ninety-nine dollars. Message on X to request access — there is no checkout on this site.
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