Define a unit
Pick a fixed fraction of bankroll (often 0.5–1%) and stick to it. Documented picks use unit size so results on the betting record are comparable across seasons.
Bankroll management
Models find prices. Bankroll rules decide whether you survive the sample.
A fair-odds board is research — not a bet slip. Unit size, max exposure and the discipline to pass when the edge is thin matter as much as the projection itself. That is why every official pick publishes unit size next to line and book.
The framework
Units, edge and what the board is for.
Edge before stake
Compare model fair price to the book with the fair-odds tool or the full board. No edge means no bet — not a smaller bet.
Respect variance
Winning seasons still include losing weeks. Process checks like closing line value matter more than any single result.
Read the board, then size
Projected scores and fair handicaps are inputs — see how to read the board and fair odds explained before staking.
Practical rules
What model bettors usually get wrong.
Do
- Cap daily risk as a multiple of one unit
- Write down price, book and stake before kickoff
- Grade against published rules, not memory
- Use the free fair-odds calculator for quick checks
Avoid
- Chasing after a red day by doubling units
- Treating every +EV lean as a max bet
- Mixing entertainment bets into the tracked bankroll
- Ignoring losing seasons on the public record
How CC Analytics helps
Documented stakes, not just opinions.
On every official pick
- Line, American price and book at release
- Unit size published with the play
- Grading rules on how we grade picks
- Soccer and CBB boards for research before staking
Responsible use
This page is educational. Projections and picks are for adults 21 and older. Never bet money you cannot afford to lose. Historical performance does not guarantee future results. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Small-unit bankrolls
When the unit is twenty dollars, discipline matters more than Kelly math.
Rules that scale down
- Pick a fixed unit (often 0.5–1% of bankroll) and write it down
- Cap the day at 2–3 units — no chase after a red card
- Prefer half-units on thinner edges; save full units for clearer prices
- Official picks publish unit size so the card stays auditable — see how we grade picks
What small bankrolls should skip
- Parlay stacking to “make the unit feel bigger”
- Live chasing after the model already passed
- Mixing entertainment tickets into the tracked book
- Treating every lean on the board as a bet — start with how to read the board
Related: closing line value · American odds → implied probability · all topics.
Access
Research the board. Size units on purpose.
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