Released wagers only
A play enters the record when it was posted with a market, line or price, sportsbook and unit size before the event. Silent model replays and private notes do not count.
Methodology
The public record is only as trustworthy as the rules behind it. This page states what counts as a released wager, how units and ROI are calculated, when futures settle and why losing seasons stay visible.
Core rules
A play enters the record when it was posted with a market, line or price, sportsbook and unit size before the event. Silent model replays and private notes do not count.
Flat one-unit sizing is the default unless a different stake was stated at release. Partial units are graded at the fraction published — not rounded after the fact.
ROI is net units won or lost divided by total units risked at the posted price. Win rate is reported separately for college basketball so price and hit rate stay distinguishable.
Futures grade when the market settles. Open positions are never booked as wins. Price and release timing remain part of the documentation for champion and MOP markets.
Transparency
Where grading meets the product
Match odds, expected goals and player props live on the research board. Official soccer plays, when released, use these same grading rules and feed the soccer ROI table.
Daily spreads and totals, plus March futures, grade under identical documentation standards. Six consecutive profitable NCAA Tournaments are part of that ledger — not a separate marketing claim.
Next step
Compare season-by-season soccer ROI and college basketball results — including losing years — on the record page. Access is arranged by direct message; there is no checkout on this site.
Message @thebestwager on X